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Catastrophic Climate Change: It's Real, It's Here, and It's Happening Near You.


2019.01.01

It ain't what you don’t know that gets you into trouble. It's what you know for sure that just ain’t so.
- Mark Twain (Samuel Clemens - American Author)

It's Real

It isn't lunar cycles. It isn't solar cycles. It isn't the orbit of the Earth around the Sun. It isn't the Sun becoming more or less powerful over the past few decades. Yes, there are such cycles, but they don't operate on the timescales that align with the evidence we are collecting about the dramatic warming of the planet in the past century. It's also not aliens with big mirrors and magnifying glasses in space.

It's Here

We have collected a fair chunk of data now, and the trendlines aren't debatable by rational beings. Yes, scientists get stuff wrong (even if you have never made an error in your life). However, the thing about how we do real science is that other scientists (and occasionally curmudgeons like me) actually read and review their stuff, try to replicate results, check their math, and then challenge items where we take issue. That review process makes for better information. So, you are free to believe what you want, but you do not get to have your own set of uncorroborated data, or your own 'facts'. If you want to challenge the conclusions of the science, I encourage you to do so - and supply your own theories - backed by evidence - to do so. I have some theories of my own (but you probably won't like them).

The Science is Settled

As much as science is ever settled, we're done with this. We knew this was happening in the 1980s. (The oil industry knew it was happening in the 1960s.) Theories have been written and tested, models have been built, and much of what we are seeing now in terms of weather system impacts were predicted. (The rate of change, accelerating rate of change, feedback loops and thresholds are still being discussed, but so far, none of those is suggesting we're going to be OK on our current trajectory. In short, things are bad, getting worse, and are probably even worse than you think or the current models project.)

One question I get a lot is: why should you believe me? Answer: you shouldn't. You should question what is provided to you, especially in this arena where vested interests (fossil energy companies and their puppets) are continuously spewing disinformation into the collective consciousness. So, I urge you to take a few weeks and do your own research, and reach your own conclusions.

Here are a few starting points for you:

  • Report of the United Nations Conference on the Human Environment Stockholm 1972
  • United Nations Conference on Environment & Development Rio de Janerio, Brazil, 3 to 14 June 1992, AGENDA 21
  • The IPCC Reports (there are a few, dating from 1990 to 2018)
  • The U.S. Fourth National Climate Assessment (2018)
  • The 2018 report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change
    ... and there is so much more you can find with a simple Internet search.

    Take your time. This page will still be here when you're ready to continue.

    Those are the facts. They aren't my facts. They are THE facts, based on real data and real evidence and real work. You don't get your own 'facts' unless you bring the data and peer-reviewed work to back it up.

    Or you could take Chuck Todd's word for it (take the 10 minutes). Moving on ...

    It's Happening Now

    You could just check the increasing frequency and intensity of climate events - pretty much anything which is a change from the 'normal' weather PATTERNS of the past 10,000 years which gave rise to human civilization is probably 'climate change'. In the past few years, we have come to call this 'the news'. Droughts, larger forest fires than a couple of decades ago, stronger storm systems with more rain or snow or higher winds, more and stronger hurricanes, typhoons, cyclones, tornadoes...

    Or check out this graph from NASA:
    NASA
    (original source: https://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/features/GlobalWarming/page2.php accessed 2019-01-01)

    There are dozens of other credible sources showing essentially the same trend. As these graphs tend to get updated annually or more often, I'm not going to try to provide a comprehensive list, as they don't add new information beyond what the graph tells us. But, if you want more data, please go look, and you will see that the trend is planetary and going in the wrong direction for the survival of our species.

    January 2019 - On thin ice: World’s lake cover shrinking as global temperatures climb (Globe and Mail)

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